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COVID-19: NJ, How you doin?

So I’ve been tracking NJ COVID-19 trends for the past week (here):

Information has been sparse so I figured I’d try collecting some data to get an idea of what’s going on. The spreadsheet also includes breakdowns per region (North, Central, South) and per county, which I think is important.

Ultimately I found out the spreadsheet can’t tell you anything that you haven’t already heard because we simply don’t have enough data. Hopefully though, as we get data, it’ll show a clear and early trend.

We’re missing data on things like hospitalizations, ICU patients, and number of tests per county/region.

Those are all important to know so we can get an understanding for the rate and severity of growth in different areas. Additionally, I found out during todays press conference that the tests are taking 7-10 days to be processed. So the data we see today is only reflective of last week. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

My main worries are:

  1. We have no data to show if our actions have been helping and policies seem to be made on best guesses
  2. Large numbers are masking small numbers that will continue this pandemic if not identified
  3. Number of tests have plateaued and the number of positives may catch up to our total capacity

It’s really hard to look at this data (or lack thereof) and be positive, but I do have a positive outlook.

Even though the data is missing it’s easy to see that things are being done today that will have a positive impact and I think that trend will continue.

Like everyone else I accept that this is bad and I’m just hoping that it isn’t as bad as it could be.